91制片厂

This report presents the findings of the ElectroniCast 91制片厂 study of the use of field-terminated fiber optic fusion splice on connectors (SOCs), attaching to an end of an optical fiber. Fusion splice on connectors (SOCs) are defined that the fusion splice is made either within the connector body or concealed in the connector immediate strain relief boot.

This report provides the SOC consumption value, quantity and average selling prices in the American region, which consists of North America, as well as Rest of America.

Field terminated fusion splice on connectors are installed for multiple reasons; the following are a few examples: rapid repairs or fist-time installation; limited space situations where pre-terminated fiber cabling may be difficult, such as when the cable assembly needs to pass through small openings such as conduit; splice trays and associated apparatus, as well as storage limitations regarding excess cable slack, which is typical for pre-terminated cable assemblies. Additionally, performance requirements versus mechanical splice options is a major consideration, since fusion splice offers lower insertion loss and better performance, because fusion splice provides a continuous connection between two optical fibers.

The American regional fiber optic connector consumption is driven by a dramatic increase in bandwidth demand beyond the limits of copper. Technological advances in fiber optics are assuring the migration of fiber closer and closer to the end user. This translates into demand for shorter links where connectors represent a substantial share of the total installation cost. The cost concerns are being addressed with the introduction of smaller, lower cost and easier to install connectors. The use of multiple-fiber connectors is also increasing, driven by the need for high fiber-count cable density interconnect applications.

Years of Coverage: 2019-2030 This report provides the SOC consumption value, quantity and average selling prices in the America region, segmented by North America and Rest of America. History data are presented for 2019 and immediate estimates for the year 2020, plus the year-by-year forecast through 2030 for each significant type of field-terminated fusion splice-on connector.

The forecast for each connector type, in turn, is segmented into each selected communication application. Company profiles of selected competitors and related companies are provided. Additionally, competitive market share estimates (2019) for selected manufacturers of field-terminated fusion splice-on connectors are provided.

COVID-19 Because of the impact on production, sales, shipment and implementation caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19), we forecast a slowdown or negative movement in consumption in 2020 and, in some categories, a sluggish recovery.

Connectors and Applications Covered in this Study

The field terminated fusion splice-on fiber optic connector market forecast is built up from specific segments. The two major categories are connectors used with single-mode optical fiber and connectors used with multimode optical fiber, and are further segmented as shown in Table 1.

Table 1 - Product Category List

Single-Mode Fiber Optic Connector

ST Simplex
FC Simplex
SC Simplex
LC Simplex
MPO Multiple Fiber Connector
OTHER

Multimode Fiber Optic Connectors

ST Simplex
FC Simplex
SC Simplex
LC Simplex
MPO Multiple Fiber Connector
OTHER

The market data is detailed by the following functions:

鈥� Consumption (use) Value (US$, Million)
鈥� Quantity/Volume (Connectors by Thousand/Units)
鈥� Average Selling Price (ASP 鈥� US$, Each)

Fiber optic fusion splice on connectors (SOC) are used in FTTx networks, cable TV backbone networks, Central Office and Head-End connector replacement, outside plant (OSP) and multiple dwelling units (apartments/condominiums) fiber to the premises (FTTP) cabling, RF-overlay/ infrastructures (5G - next generation cellular and other), and FTTP networks, as well as premises networks (Fiber-to-the-Desk, Other), data center (DC) installation, connector restoration in the field, industrial and specialty applications and other applications. The end applications for the selected fiber optic connectors are itemized in Table 2.

Table 2 - Application Category List

Telecommunications/Multimedia
Cable TV/Multimedia
Premises Networks and Other Non-Specified

Service providers that provide landline telephony are considered in the Telecommunications / Multimedia category, even if they also provide Internet, Cable TV, as well as mobile/cell phone service; service providers that offer mobile/cell phone service (only) are considered in the Telecommunications application category.

Service providers that provide Cable TV and/or Internet and (plus) mobile/cell phone service is considered in the Cable TV/Multimedia application category.

Companies that provide Internet (only) are now considered in the Telecommunications/Multimedia category.

Premises Networks and Other Non-Specified application category includes the premises network category, plus Military / Aerospace Specialty; industrial; medical/science; and other applications/non-specific uses

Field terminated fiber optic fusion Splice On Connectors (SOC) are suitable for rapid repairs or for limited space situations where pre-terminated fiber cabling may be difficult, such as when the cable assembly needs to pass through small openings such as conduit. The connector offers a repeatable alternative termination solution for single-mode or multimode optical fiber.

It is sometimes the case that the required fiber optic connectors cannot be attached to the optical fibers at the factory prior to installation in the field. Also, it is sometimes preferable to deliver the optical fiber (cable) to the customer installation location separately than the connectors since the optical fiber connectors generally have a greater diameter than the respective optical fiber, and may unnecessarily complicate the packaging and shipping of the optical fiber.

Higher port density means higher volumes of cables must be run through ducts, conduits, ceilings, and other. In order to enable pulling these cables safely and easily, it is preferred that at least one of the optical cable ends is un-terminated. Installers are then left to terminate these fibers using the method that gives not only the highest quality termination, but also has the lowest installed cost.

In addition to outside plant (OSP) installations, field terminated fiber optic fusion splice on connectors (SOC) are finding their way into data centers (DC) and other inside plant applications. With these connectors, installers/ technicians can accomplish cable builds with exact lengths, eliminating the short cable and excess cable slack, as well as logistic delays associated with pre-terminated cables. The SOCs provide reliable, permanent, terminations that provide superior performance versus mechanical splice connector types. The connectors also facilitate fast MAC (moves, adds and changes) installation solutions.

Information Base for the Market Forecast

Primary Research This study is based on analysis of information obtained through the middle of December 2020. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, cable TV, datacom, military and aerospace and other communication industries, instrumentation/ laboratory 鈥� R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of fusion and mechanical field terminated fiber optic connectors. The interviews were conducted principally with:

鈥� Technicians and network planners that are actively involved in using mechanical splices, fusion splicers, and fiber optic connectors/field-terminated mechanical-type and fusion splice-on connectors.

鈥� Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of fiber optic connectors, fusion splicers, mechanical splices, ferrules and cables, cable assemblies, splice equipment/tools and installation apparatus, and other devices

鈥� Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of cable, cable assemblies, connectors, installation apparatus, passive devices and transceivers, such as telecommunication transmission, switching and distribution equipment producers, data communications equipment and others.

鈥� Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, and investments.

The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, patents and Intellectual Property, supplier competition and other topics.

Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.

The analyst then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.

Secondary Research A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:

鈥� Professional technical journals and papers
鈥� Trade press articles
鈥� Technical conference proceedings
鈥� Product literature
鈥� Company profile and financial information
鈥� Additional information based on previous ElectroniCast market studies
鈥� Personal knowledge of the research team

In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the North American market for optical interconnect products, it is essential that the 91制片厂 team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.

Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background 91制片厂 focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.

ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward communication equipment usage and economic payback.

Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a 鈥渟anity check.鈥�

ElectroniCast has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.

The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast.