The global eSAF market size is predicted to grow from US$ 2.9 million in 2024 to US$ 1554 million in 2030; it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 184.4% from 2024 to 2030.
eSAF, also sometimes called Power-to-Liquid (PtL) fuels, synthetic fuels, or Power-to-X, do not use direct organic compounds as feedstocks like other pathways do, and is therefore not a biofuel. Instead, this pathway uses captured CO2 (from industrial sources and direct air capture), renewable electricity, and clean hydrogen (e.g., from water) as feedstocks.
eSAF supports global efforts to decarbonize the aviation sector, which is a significant challenge due to the high energy demand and difficulty of electrifying large commercial aircraft. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) and other aviation bodies have set ambitious goals to reduce aviation emissions to net-zero by 2050, and eSAF is seen as a crucial part of achieving this. eSAF represents the most promising SAF pathway in global efforts to decarbonize the aviation industry.
From the perspective of product types Fischer–Tropsch Synthesis (FTS) method has gained significant dominance in the market.
In term of products application, the Commercial Aviation market is presently the largest downstream market for eSAF.
While eSAF holds tremendous potential in terms of reducing carbon emissions and providing a sustainable alternative to conventional jet fuel, its high production costs present significant challenges. As of now, the cost of producing eSAF is estimated to be in the range of $7 to $12 per gallon or higher, depending on the region and the specific technologies used. This is significantly more expensive than conventional jet fuel, which typically costs around $2 to $3 per gallon. The high cost of eSAF is a major barrier to widespread adoption by airlines, as they must balance fuel costs with profitability. The aviation industry is under pressure to reduce its carbon footprint, but the higher cost of eSAF limits its use, especially when cheaper alternatives like conventional fossil jet fuel remain prevalent.
But the potential for eSAF to reach cost parity with conventional jet fuels is becoming more achievable as renewable energy costs continue to decline and carbon procurement methods evolve. With green hydrogen production becoming more affordable and innovative methods to source carbon from industrial waste gases, the production costs for eSAF are expected to decrease significantly in the coming years.
As these technologies mature, coupled with supportive legislation and policy frameworks (such as SAF blending mandates andeSAF can become a competitive and sustainable alternative to fossil jet fuel, making a crucial contribution to decarbonizing the aviation sector and achieving global net-zero goals.
The “eSAF Industry Forecast” looks at past sales and reviews total world eSAF sales in 2023, providing a comprehensive analysis by region and market sector of projected eSAF sales for 2024 through 2030. With eSAF sales broken down by region, market sector and sub-sector, this report provides a detailed analysis in US$ millions of the world eSAF industry.
This Insight Report provides a comprehensive analysis of the global eSAF landscape and highlights key trends related to product segmentation, company formation, revenue, and market share, latest development, and M&A activity. This report also analyzes the strategies of leading global companies with a focus on eSAF portfolios and capabilities, market entry strategies, market positions, and geographic footprints, to better understand these firms’ unique position in an accelerating global eSAF market.
This Insight Report evaluates the key market trends, drivers, and affecting factors shaping the global outlook for eSAF and breaks down the forecast by Type, by Application, geography, and market size to highlight emerging pockets of opportunity. With a transparent methodology based on hundreds of bottom-up qualitative and quantitative market inputs, this study forecast offers a highly nuanced view of the current state and future trajectory in the global eSAF.
This report presents a comprehensive overview, market shares, and growth opportunities of eSAF market by product type, application, key manufacturers and key regions and countries.
Segmentation by Type:
Fischer–Tropsch Synthesis (FTS)
Methanol-to-Jet (MtJ)
Segmentation by Application:
Commercial Aviation
Military Aviation
Others
This report also splits the market by region:
Americas
United States
Canada
Mexico
Brazil
APAC
China
Japan
Korea
Southeast Asia
India
Australia
Europe
Germany
France
UK
Italy
Russia
Middle East & Africa
Egypt
South Africa
Israel
Turkey
GCC Countries
The below companies that are profiled have been selected based on inputs gathered from primary experts and analysing the company's coverage, product portfolio, its market penetration.
Twelve
P2X Europe
Zero Petroleum
Infinium
Willis Sustainable Fuels
Norsk e-Fuel
Arcadia eFuels
CEEC (Enegy China)
Metafuels
Power2X
SkyNRG
HIF Global
Key Questions Addressed in this Report
What is the 10-year outlook for the global eSAF market?
What factors are driving eSAF market growth, globally and by region?
Which technologies are poised for the fastest growth by market and region?
How do eSAF market opportunities vary by end market size?
How does eSAF break out by Type, by Application?
Please Note - This is an on demand report and will be delivered in 2 business days (48 hours) post payment.
1 Scope of the Report
1.1 Market Introduction
1.2 Years Considered
1.3 Research Objectives
1.4 Market Research Methodology
1.5 Research Process and Data Source
1.6 Economic Indicators
1.7 Currency Considered
1.8 Market Estimation Caveats
2 Executive Summary
2.1 World Market Overview
2.1.1 Global eSAF Annual Sales 2019-2030
2.1.2 World Current & Future Analysis for eSAF by Geographic Region, 2019, 2023 & 2030
2.1.3 World Current & Future Analysis for eSAF by Country/Region, 2019, 2023 & 2030
2.2 eSAF Segment by Type
2.2.1 Fischer–Tropsch Synthesis (FTS)
2.2.2 Methanol-to-Jet (MtJ)
2.3 eSAF Sales by Type
2.3.1 Global eSAF Sales Market Share by Type (2019-2024)
2.3.2 Global eSAF Revenue and Market Share by Type (2019-2024)
2.3.3 Global eSAF Sale Price by Type (2019-2024)
2.4 eSAF Segment by Application
2.4.1 Commercial Aviation
2.4.2 Military Aviation
2.4.3 Others
2.5 eSAF Sales by Application
2.5.1 Global eSAF Sale Market Share by Application (2019-2024)
2.5.2 Global eSAF Revenue and Market Share by Application (2019-2024)
2.5.3 Global eSAF Sale Price by Application (2019-2024)
3 Global by Company
3.1 Global eSAF Breakdown Data by Company
3.1.1 Global eSAF Annual Sales by Company (2019-2024)
3.1.2 Global eSAF Sales Market Share by Company (2019-2024)
3.2 Global eSAF Annual Revenue by Company (2019-2024)
3.2.1 Global eSAF Revenue by Company (2019-2024)
3.2.2 Global eSAF Revenue Market Share by Company (2019-2024)
3.3 Global eSAF Sale Price by Company
3.4 Key Manufacturers eSAF Producing Area Distribution, Sales Area, Product Type
3.4.1 Key Manufacturers eSAF Product Location Distribution
3.4.2 Players eSAF Products Offered
3.5 Market Concentration Rate Analysis
3.5.1 Competition Landscape Analysis
3.5.2 Concentration Ratio (CR3, CR5 and CR10) & (2019-2024)
3.6 New Products and Potential Entrants
3.7 Market M&A Activity & Strategy
4 World Historic Review for eSAF by Geographic Region
4.1 World Historic eSAF Market Size by Geographic Region (2019-2024)
4.1.1 Global eSAF Annual Sales by Geographic Region (2019-2024)
4.1.2 Global eSAF Annual Revenue by Geographic Region (2019-2024)
4.2 World Historic eSAF Market Size by Country/Region (2019-2024)
4.2.1 Global eSAF Annual Sales by Country/Region (2019-2024)
4.2.2 Global eSAF Annual Revenue by Country/Region (2019-2024)
4.3 Americas eSAF Sales Growth
4.4 APAC eSAF Sales Growth
4.5 Europe eSAF Sales Growth
4.6 Middle East & Africa eSAF Sales Growth
5 Americas
5.1 Americas eSAF Sales by Country
5.1.1 Americas eSAF Sales by Country (2019-2024)
5.1.2 Americas eSAF Revenue by Country (2019-2024)
5.2 Americas eSAF Sales by Type (2019-2024)
5.3 Americas eSAF Sales by Application (2019-2024)
5.4 United States
5.5 Canada
5.6 Mexico
5.7 Brazil
6 APAC
6.1 APAC eSAF Sales by Region
6.1.1 APAC eSAF Sales by Region (2019-2024)
6.1.2 APAC eSAF Revenue by Region (2019-2024)
6.2 APAC eSAF Sales by Type (2019-2024)
6.3 APAC eSAF Sales by Application (2019-2024)
6.4 China
6.5 Japan
6.6 South Korea
6.7 Southeast Asia
6.8 India
6.9 Australia
6.10 China Taiwan
7 Europe
7.1 Europe eSAF by Country
7.1.1 Europe eSAF Sales by Country (2019-2024)
7.1.2 Europe eSAF Revenue by Country (2019-2024)
7.2 Europe eSAF Sales by Type (2019-2024)
7.3 Europe eSAF Sales by Application (2019-2024)
7.4 Germany
7.5 France
7.6 UK
7.7 Italy
7.8 Russia
8 Middle East & Africa
8.1 Middle East & Africa eSAF by Country
8.1.1 Middle East & Africa eSAF Sales by Country (2019-2024)
8.1.2 Middle East & Africa eSAF Revenue by Country (2019-2024)
8.2 Middle East & Africa eSAF Sales by Type (2019-2024)
8.3 Middle East & Africa eSAF Sales by Application (2019-2024)
8.4 Egypt
8.5 South Africa
8.6 Israel
8.7 Turkey
8.8 GCC Countries
9 Market Drivers, Challenges and Trends
9.1 Market Drivers & Growth Opportunities
9.2 Market Challenges & Risks
9.3 Industry Trends
10 Manufacturing Cost Structure Analysis
10.1 Raw Material and Suppliers
10.2 Manufacturing Cost Structure Analysis of eSAF
10.3 Manufacturing Process Analysis of eSAF
10.4 Industry Chain Structure of eSAF
11 Marketing, Distributors and Customer
11.1 Sales Channel
11.1.1 Direct Channels
11.1.2 Indirect Channels
11.2 eSAF Distributors
11.3 eSAF Customer
12 World Forecast Review for eSAF by Geographic Region
12.1 Global eSAF Market Size Forecast by Region
12.1.1 Global eSAF Forecast by Region (2025-2030)
12.1.2 Global eSAF Annual Revenue Forecast by Region (2025-2030)
12.2 Americas Forecast by Country (2025-2030)
12.3 APAC Forecast by Region (2025-2030)
12.4 Europe Forecast by Country (2025-2030)
12.5 Middle East & Africa Forecast by Country (2025-2030)
12.6 Global eSAF Forecast by Type (2025-2030)
12.7 Global eSAF Forecast by Application (2025-2030)
13 Key Players Analysis
13.1 Twelve
13.1.1 Twelve Company Information
13.1.2 Twelve eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.1.3 Twelve eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.1.4 Twelve Main Business Overview
13.1.5 Twelve Latest Developments
13.2 P2X Europe
13.2.1 P2X Europe Company Information
13.2.2 P2X Europe eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.2.3 P2X Europe eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.2.4 P2X Europe Main Business Overview
13.2.5 P2X Europe Latest Developments
13.3 Zero Petroleum
13.3.1 Zero Petroleum Company Information
13.3.2 Zero Petroleum eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.3.3 Zero Petroleum eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.3.4 Zero Petroleum Main Business Overview
13.3.5 Zero Petroleum Latest Developments
13.4 Infinium
13.4.1 Infinium Company Information
13.4.2 Infinium eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.4.3 Infinium eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.4.4 Infinium Main Business Overview
13.4.5 Infinium Latest Developments
13.5 Willis Sustainable Fuels
13.5.1 Willis Sustainable Fuels Company Information
13.5.2 Willis Sustainable Fuels eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.5.3 Willis Sustainable Fuels eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.5.4 Willis Sustainable Fuels Main Business Overview
13.5.5 Willis Sustainable Fuels Latest Developments
13.6 Norsk e-Fuel
13.6.1 Norsk e-Fuel Company Information
13.6.2 Norsk e-Fuel eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.6.3 Norsk e-Fuel eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.6.4 Norsk e-Fuel Main Business Overview
13.6.5 Norsk e-Fuel Latest Developments
13.7 Arcadia eFuels
13.7.1 Arcadia eFuels Company Information
13.7.2 Arcadia eFuels eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.7.3 Arcadia eFuels eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.7.4 Arcadia eFuels Main Business Overview
13.7.5 Arcadia eFuels Latest Developments
13.8 CEEC (Enegy China)
13.8.1 CEEC (Enegy China) Company Information
13.8.2 CEEC (Enegy China) eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.8.3 CEEC (Enegy China) eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.8.4 CEEC (Enegy China) Main Business Overview
13.8.5 CEEC (Enegy China) Latest Developments
13.9 Metafuels
13.9.1 Metafuels Company Information
13.9.2 Metafuels eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.9.3 Metafuels eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.9.4 Metafuels Main Business Overview
13.9.5 Metafuels Latest Developments
13.10 Power2X
13.10.1 Power2X Company Information
13.10.2 Power2X eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.10.3 Power2X eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.10.4 Power2X Main Business Overview
13.10.5 Power2X Latest Developments
13.11 SkyNRG
13.11.1 SkyNRG Company Information
13.11.2 SkyNRG eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.11.3 SkyNRG eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.11.4 SkyNRG Main Business Overview
13.11.5 SkyNRG Latest Developments
13.12 HIF Global
13.12.1 HIF Global Company Information
13.12.2 HIF Global eSAF Product Portfolios and Specifications
13.12.3 HIF Global eSAF Sales, Revenue, Price and Gross Margin (2019-2024)
13.12.4 HIF Global Main Business Overview
13.12.5 HIF Global Latest Developments
14 Research Findings and Conclusion
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*If Applicable.
